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Global Tactical Asset Allocation Momentum

ASSET ALLOCATION STRATEGY

This strategy is one of two global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies proposed by Blitz and Van Vliet. The other strategy is relative value based. The strategies are based on a broad range of asset classes. This strategy uses past returns of asset classes to rank their price momentum. The first one is termed as 12-1 month (12 months excluding the most recent month) momentum strategy, which uses the past returns from previous 13th. month to previous 2nd. month for each asset used. The second one is termed as one month which simply uses the past one month returns.

The Strategy:

  1. At the end of every month rank all assets based on their price momentum:  for 12-1, use the return from previous 13th. month to previous 2nd. month for each asset used,  for one month, use the returns from the previous month.
  2. Sort the assets based on their returns.
  3. Choose the top quartile (in our case, 3 funds) to buy for this month.

Funds used in this strategy model portfolio:

There are totally 12 funds used to represent the underlying asset classes.

US Large Equity: Vanguard 500:  VFINX

US Midcap Equity:  Vanguard Mid Cap Index VIMSX

US Small Cap Equity: Vanguard Small Cap: NAESX

International Equity: Vanguard Total International Index: VGTSX

US REIT: Vanguard REIT: VGSIX

US Investment Grade: Vanguard Investment Grade Bond Fund: VFICX

US Junk Bond: Vanguard High Yield Bond Fund: VWEHX

US Long Treasury: Vanguard Long Treasury Bond Fund: VUSTX

US Short Treasury: Vanguard Short Treasury Index Fund: VFISX

US GNMA Mortgage Back: Vanguard GNMA Fund: VFIIX

International Bond Fund: American Century International Bond Fund: BEGBX since there is no index fund for international bonds.

CASH


See Also